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Elon Musk: Artificial intelligence could outsmart humanity by next year

Powerful tech leaders and other public figures have been sounding the alarm about the potential dangers of artificial intelligence technology for years, including Elon Musk, who has never remained silent on the issue.

Now, the multi-CEO claims that technology will soon be able to outwit even the smartest of humans.

In a live-streamed interview Monday on X, which he owns, the billionaire spoke with Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, about the potential advancement of AI technology.

Related: Elon Musk releases the AI ​​model behind Grok, a competitor to OpenAI’s ChatGPT

“Artificial intelligence is the fastest-advancing technology of any kind I’ve ever seen, and I’ve seen a lot of technology,” Musk said. “My guess is that we will have an AI that is smarter than any human towards the end of next year.”

However, he said, demand for chips and electricity could limit progress.

In 2023, Musk predicted a timeline of five or six years before superintelligence, but then followed up with a growth chart of how the technology has advanced over the past two-plus decades, saying the visual representation “says it all” .

Musk co-founded OpenAI (the creator of ChatGPT) with Sam Altman and Greg Brockman, but sued the two last month claiming they had “violated the company’s charter” by working for commercial success instead of using business technology to “take advantage.” humanity.”

Related: Elon Musk sues ChatGPT-Maker OpenAI, Sam Altman

Musk also stood alongside other tech titans, including Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, last September at a U.S. government AI summit to discuss the need for regulation .

“There is some chance – above zero – that AI will kill us all. I think it’s low but there is some chance,” Musk told reporters after the session. “The consequences of an AI error are severe.”

Whether or not all of this will come to fruition in the next year remains to be seen.

A recent survey of 21 corporate futurists by Tata Consultancy Services shows that superintelligence is not where most see AI going.

Futurist and author Bernard Marr told CNBC earlier this week that while we are “very far from becoming sentient, if ever,” artificial intelligence technology has become “very, very good at doing things that in past only humans could do. “



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